Lucchese Libertas vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
60%
20%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
NAP
2 - 0
ASL
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
NOV
5 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
TOR
0 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |