Lucchese Libertas vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 0
ASL
73%
16%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
JUV
12%
21%
68%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
FIO
2 - 2
ASL
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
ASL
3 - 1
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
3 - 4
USA
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
3 - 3
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
5 - 1
ROM
20%
20%
60%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
5 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |