Lucchese Libertas vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASL
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
2 - 0
USA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
ASL
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIS
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |