Lucchese Libertas vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 2
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIC
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
NAP
0 - 2
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
NAP
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |