Lucchese Libertas vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASL
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 1
MOD
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
5 - 1
ASL
79%
12%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |