Lucchese Libertas vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
COM
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
MOD
2 - 1
COS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
MOD
3 - 2
FCC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
VER
2 - 2
MOD
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
LEC
4 - 1
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |