Lucchese Libertas vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
5 - 1
ASL
79%
12%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
79%
13%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 3
ACL
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
LAZ
9 - 1
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |