Lucchese Libertas vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ASL
69%
17%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 1
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASL
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1937 |
ATL
1 - 0
ASL
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUV
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |