Lucchese Libertas vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
91%
6%
3%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
ACM
4 - 1
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACM
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |