Lucchese Libertas vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASL
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
GAL
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 2
SAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 0
PIS
34%
30%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
CRO
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PRG
2 - 1
MAS
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MAS
2 - 2
JUS
37%
29%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 1
MAS
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |