Lucchese Libertas vs Martina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
PES
0 - 3
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 2
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
JUS
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 1
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACS
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 2
MAR
53%
24%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |