Lucchese Libertas vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
FIO
8%
20%
72%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
USF
2 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASL
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LRO
0 - 1
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 2
LRO
81%
15%
5%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LRO
3 - 1
ACP
25%
28%
47%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FCC
5 - 1
LRO
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LRO
0 - 2
RAA
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |