Lucchese Libertas vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
PRO
5 - 1
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 1
ASL
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASL
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
LAZ
4 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 3
LAZ
91%
6%
3%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ATL
5 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |