Lucchese Libertas vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
BIE
2 - 1
ASL
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASL
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASL
55%
22%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 1
GEN
31%
22%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
61%
20%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ACL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |