Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-3
Lucchese Libertas vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
48%
29%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
INT
2 - 0
ASL
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 0
ASS
51%
29%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 0
RAV
65%
23%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
CES
2 - 2
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
APO
3 - 3
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
INT
3 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
INT
2 - 0
ASL
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
UDI
0 - 1
INT
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |