Lucchese Libertas vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 0
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 2
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
SAM
2 - 0
VER
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
VER
4 - 1
PES
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
VER
2 - 1
NOC
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
NOC
2 - 2
VER
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
VER
4 - 2
RAV
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |