Lucchese Libertas vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
32.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 3
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 1
LEC
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASL
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
VER
1 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ASS
0 - 0
VER
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
VER
1 - 0
REG
54%
27%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
VER
28%
30%
43%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
VER
2 - 0
TER
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |