Lucchese Libertas vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ASL
2 - 0
ATP
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
6 - 0
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VER
1 - 0
ATP
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |