Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 1
RAV
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 4
ASL
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 1
USC
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
GEN
28%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |