Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USC
2 - 1
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 1
TOR
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEN
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
GEN
3 - 0
RAV
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
15%
23%
61%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 1
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
GEN
0 - 1
USF
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |