Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
COM
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 1
REG
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
GEN
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
GEN
2 - 2
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
COS
1 - 0
GEN
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |