Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
PAL
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 2
COM
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
UDI
2 - 0
ASL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 1
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 0
ATP
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 4
GEN
52%
23%
24%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |