Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASL
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
NOV
5 - 0
ASL
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ASL
7 - 2
TRI
50%
22%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
GEN
3 - 1
COM
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |