Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
52%
22%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACM
36%
24%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ASL
69%
17%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 1
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
GEN
4 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 2
GEN
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |