Lucchese Libertas vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASL
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 2
FRO
29%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACS
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
2 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
FIA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 0
ACL
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 0
FIA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SPE
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |