Lucchese Libertas vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
PRG
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 3
GEN
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
RAV
2 - 1
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ASL
3 - 1
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 0
CSA
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
PES
0 - 2
FIA
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 1
FIA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
PRG
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
SAL
1 - 1
FIA
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |