Lucchese Libertas vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
22.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
USF
2 - 0
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
REG
4 - 2
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 0
RAV
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
EMP
41%
30%
30%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
3 - 1
PAL
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
TOR
0 - 1
EMP
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |