Lucchese Libertas vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 2
ASL
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 1
SPE
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
37%
29%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
USC
2 - 1
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
COM
0 - 1
SAS
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PIS
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |