Lucchese Libertas vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASL
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
COM
3 - 1
USA
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 3
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |