Lucchese Libertas vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 5
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ASL
3 - 2
INT
25%
22%
53%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ASL
3 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ROM
0 - 1
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
PRO
1 - 0
COM
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1951 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
LAZ
2 - 0
COM
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
COM
2 - 1
PAL
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |