Lucchese Libertas vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
TRE
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
CHI
3 - 0
REG
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
NAP
0 - 0
CHI
65%
23%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 1
RAV
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
REG
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |