Lucchese Libertas vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
ASL
5 - 1
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
VER
1 - 1
ASL
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACI
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
UDI
0 - 0
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
CHI
0 - 1
PIA
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
CHI
3 - 1
PES
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
CES
2 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
CHI
0 - 0
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
VNZ
0 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |