Lucchese Libertas vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
3 - 2
SIE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 1
RCR
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
ASL
37%
28%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
OLB
1 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
USA
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |