Lucchese Libertas vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 2
ASL
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 0
TUT
51%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TER
3 - 0
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAV
0 - 0
ASL
35%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
LRO
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |