Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 3
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 2
ASL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 3
ABN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAD
5 - 2
REG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 2
CTT
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |