Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
REG
4 - 2
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 0
RAV
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 3
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
PAD
2 - 2
USC
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 3
PAD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAD
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |