Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
23%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 1
INT
18%
28%
54%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
48%
29%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
INT
2 - 0
ASL
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 0
ASS
51%
29%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 0
RAV
65%
23%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
COS
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAD
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VIC
1 - 1
PAD
37%
32%
31%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
ACI
0 - 0
PAD
37%
31%
32%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |