Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ASS
6 - 1
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
COM
2 - 2
ASL
60%
20%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
BAR
4 - 0
PAD
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
USF
2 - 1
PAD
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |