Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASL
60%
19%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASL
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ASL
6 - 2
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 1
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
4 - 4
TOR
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |