Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASL
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ASL
6 - 2
SCC
84%
10%
5%
|
67 | 20 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACL
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASL
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 1
NOV
48%
23%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
PAD
6 - 1
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
PAD
6 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
PAD
1 - 3
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAD
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |