Lucchese Libertas vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 0
ANC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
32%
31%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 0
CAG
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
JUV
3 - 1
CAG
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
INT
1 - 2
CAG
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
CAG
0 - 2
SAM
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |