Lucchese Libertas vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 3
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USC
2 - 1
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 1
TOR
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
PAL
3 - 2
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
VNZ
3 - 0
BRE
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
USF
1 - 2
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |