Lucchese Libertas vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 0
ANC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
32%
31%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 2
FIA
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
PES
2 - 4
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
FIO
2 - 1
BRE
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
USC
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |