Lucchese Libertas vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
VER
1 - 0
ASL
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
2 - 3
UDI
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ASL
0 - 2
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
UDI
0 - 0
BRE
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |