Lucchese Libertas vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 3
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |