Lucchese Libertas vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
GEN
4 - 1
ASL
81%
11%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 1
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |