Lucchese Libertas vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASL
0 - 1
TAR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ASL
3 - 0
GEL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
PIS
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAR
3 - 1
BEN
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 1
NUO
60%
23%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TER
1 - 3
BEN
25%
26%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
FCV
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |