Lucchese Libertas vs Pro Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ACP
3 - 2
ASL
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LRO
3 - 1
ASL
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
PIA
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 0
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
PIA
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |