Lucchese Libertas vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 0
PES
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 2
FIA
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ASL
0 - 0
REG
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
RAV
0 - 0
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |