Lucchese Libertas vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
INT
2 - 1
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ASL
1 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASL
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ASL
2 - 0
TOR
21%
21%
58%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
ATL
4 - 7
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 3
INT
30%
23%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ROM
3 - 3
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |